Methodology
Methodology and publication scope
This page explains the source rules, attribution standards, refresh logic, and exclusion criteria behind the public site.
Version
v1.1
Updated March 30, 2026
Public data pages now publish only source-backed BLS values, live ATS board aggregates, and a narrow set of official-source layoff disclosures. Modeled series stay off public pages until the provenance pipeline is fully audited.
What is currently published
The public site now limits itself to three source classes: current BLS occupation pages, live public ATS job boards, and primary-source layoff disclosures such as SEC filings or company investor-relations releases.
If a data series cannot yet be reproduced from those source classes, it stays off the public charts and off the public page copy.
- BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook pages for employment, wage, and projection fields.
- Live Greenhouse and Ashby boards for current role counts, company counts, and posting recency.
- Official-source layoff disclosures only, with explicit AI-signal labeling.
How layoff confidence works
The live layoff page now publishes only filing-grade or official company disclosures. Those entries are marked Confirmed and remain intentionally narrow while the broader provenance pipeline is being audited.
AI context is kept separate from the fact of the workforce reduction. A company may be investing in AI while cutting staff without saying AI caused the event.
- Confirmed: SEC filing, annual report, WARN notice, or direct company investor-relations statement.
- AI cited: the source text itself names AI as an investment priority, restructuring factor, or explicit driver.
- Not cited: the source documents the cut but does not attribute it to AI.
What stays off the public site for now
Synthetic displacement ratios, placeholder geography layers, and unaudited research dashboards have been removed from the public research and trends pages until their lineage is auditable end to end.
The occupation page now follows the same rule. If a modeled layer cannot be reproduced from audited public inputs, it stays off the public site until that work is complete.
Source hierarchy
- SEC filings, annual reports, and formal investor-relations disclosures
- WARN Act notices and equivalent government notices
- Direct company newsroom or investor-relations releases
- Current BLS and other official federal labor data
- Major research institutions and peer-reviewed or institutionally reviewed studies
- Secondary reporting only when the primary document is unavailable and the claim is clearly attributed
Citation format
jobanxiety.ai AI Labor Market Tracker. "[Dataset or page title], Month Year." Accessed [date]. https://jobanxiety.ai/[path] Methodology: https://jobanxiety.ai/methodology (v1.1).
Occupation page scope
The public occupation page publishes only directly sourced BLS fields: employment, wage levels, wage percentiles when available, projected growth, and annual openings. Those numbers come from the Occupational Outlook Handbook and related BLS release tables.
AI-exposure mappings, task-overlap estimates, posting-direction models, and transition guidance remain off the public calculator until their provenance, methodology, and reproduction steps can be audited to the same standard as the BLS inputs.
Publication rule
The public research, trends, and layoff pages publish BLS occupation values, live ATS aggregates, and confirmed layoff disclosures from official company or SEC documents. If a series cannot clear that bar yet, it is removed from the charts rather than published with a weaker standard.
The same rule now applies to the occupation page. If a modeled layer cannot be reproduced from audited public inputs, it stays off the public site until that work is complete.